Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
McDiarmid Park
St Johnstone2 - 3Hearts
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celtic 4-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-2 Hearts
Saturday, December 24 at 2pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, December 24 at 2pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: St Johnstone 1-0 Hearts
Although St Johnstone came back from Celtic Park without any points on Christmas Eve, there were positives to take away from the performance as they look to record a victory on home soil. Hearts did not get the win they expected at Dundee United and lost many players to injury in the process, meaning a trip to face the Saints could be a real struggle on Wednesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
30.35% ( -0.01) | 28.8% | 40.85% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.5% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
