Serie A Gameweek 36
May 10, 2026 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Christopher Nkunku 46' yellowcard
  • Youssouf Fofana 58' yellowcard
  • Zachary Athekame 58' yellowcard
  • Niclas Füllkrug 58' yellowcard
  • Zachary Athekame 59' yellowcard
  • Niclas Füllkrug 59' yellowcard
  • Pervis Estupiñán 80' yellowcard
  • Strahinja Pavlović 88' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Éderson 7'
  • goal Davide Zappacosta 29'
  • yellowcard Odilon Kossounou 48'
  • goal Giacomo Raspadori 51'
  • yellowcard Raoul Bellanova 55'
  • yellowcard Honest Ahanor 63'
  • yellowcard Mario Pašalić 63'

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 2.00pm
Sassuolo 2 - 0 AC Milan
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 7.45pm
Atalanta 0 - 0 Genoa
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 45.37%
Draw 25.69%
Atalanta BC 28.87% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.94% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.45% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 26.55% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 48.76% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.24% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.09% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.91% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.12% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.88% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

AC Milan 33.64%
Draw 43.57%
Atalanta BC 22.79%

Team To Score First

AC Milan 55.19% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.55% (+0.01)
Atalanta BC 37.26%

Corners

Over 8 55.25%
Equal 8 12.58%
Under 8 32.17%
Over 9 42.65%
Equal 9 12.6%
Under 9 44.75%
Over 10.5 31.2%
Under 10.5 68.8%

AC Milan Goals

Over 1.5 42.25% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.75% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.07% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.93% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.95%
Under 3.5 94.05%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 63.94% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 36.06% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 29.24% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 70.76% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 9.88% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.12% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.64% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.36% (+0.02)

Score analysis

AC Milan 45.38%
Draw 25.69%
Atalanta BC 28.87%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 7.82%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.93% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77%
Other @ 5.94%
Total : 45.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.55% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.69%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.63% (-0.02)
Total : 28.87%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • yellowcard Juan Cuadrado 56'
  • goal Ederson 62'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Charles De Ketelaere 12' goal
  • Charles De Ketelaere 55' yellowcard
  • Raoul Bellanova 71' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 87' goal
  • goal Alvaro Morata 22'
  • yellowcard Paulo Fonseca 75'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Rafael Leao 3' goal
  • Stefano Pioli 40' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 42'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 44'
  • yellowcard Emil Holm 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ademola Lookman 56'
  • yellowcard Ederson 90'+4'
Coppa Italia
Jan 10, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Rafael Leao 45' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 57' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 80' yellowcard
  • Antonio Mirante 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Gian Piero Gasperini 38'
  • redcard Gian Piero Gasperini 38'
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 45'+2'
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 59'
  • yellowcard Ederson 90'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Ademola Lookman 38' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 55' goal
  • Ederson 72' yellowcard
  • Luis Muriel 90'+5' goal
  • goal Olivier Giroud 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 71'
  • goal Luka Jovic 80'
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 80'
  • yellowcard Luka Jovic 88'
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 90'+2'
  • redcard Davide Calabria 90'+3'