Serie A
May 17, 2026 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Mario Pašalić 63' yellowcard
  • Yunus Musah 63' yellowcard
  • Yunus Musah 64' yellowcard
  • Kamaldeen Sulemana 64' yellowcard
  • Mitchel Bakker 82' yellowcard
  • Sead Kolasinac 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thijs Dallinga 69'
  • yellowcard Nikola Moro 69'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Orsolini 69'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Orsolini 70'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 78'
  • yellowcard Benja Domínguez 88'
  • yellowcard Benja Domínguez 89'

Atalanta BC vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 7.45pm
AC Milan 2 - 3 Atalanta
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 7.45pm
Napoli 2 - 3 Bologna
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Riccardo Orsolini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Atalanta BC 50.57% (-0.30)
Draw 23.51% (+0.17)
Bologna 25.92% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.92% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.27% (+0.57)
Under 1.5 18.73% (-0.56)
Over 2.5 59.71% (+1.00)
Under 2.5 40.29% (-1.00)
Over 3.5 37.55% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 62.45% (-0.23)
Over 4.5 22.74% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 77.26% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Atalanta BC 40.29% (-1.71)
Draw 41.46% (+2.33)
Bologna 18.25% (-0.63)

Team To Score First

Atalanta BC 60.29% (+0.39)
No Goal 4.73% (-0.13)
Bologna 34.98% (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 58.89% (+1.71)
Equal 8 11.43% (-0.34)
Under 8 29.68% (-1.36)
Over 9 47.14% (+1.87)
Equal 9 11.76% (-0.17)
Under 9 41.11% (-1.71)
Over 10.5 36.06% (+1.85)
Under 10.5 63.94% (-1.85)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 1.5 52.99% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 47.01% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 26.68% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 73.32% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 11.03% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 88.97% (+0.02)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 64.13% (+0.65)
Under 0.5 35.87% (-0.66)
Over 1.5 32.17% (+0.73)
Under 1.5 67.83% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 12.46% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 87.54% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 3.83% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.17% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 50.55%
Draw 23.52%
Bologna 25.92%
Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 9.82% (+0.18)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.32)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.24)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 4.37% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.76% (+0.12)
Other @ 10.71% (-0.06)
Total : 50.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.08% (+0.22)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.68% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.32% (+0.04)
Total : 23.52%
Bologna
1-2 @ 6.66% (+0.30)
0-1 @ 5.59% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.31% (+0.19)
Other @ 3.51% (+0.02)
Total : 25.92%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2026 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2025 11.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Mateo Retegui 3' goal
  • Isak Hien 7' yellowcard
  • Mario Pasalic 21' goal
  • Davide Zappacosta 34' yellowcard
  • Mateo Retegui 60' yellowcard
  • Rafael Toloi 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Miranda 90'+3'
Coppa Italia
Feb 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Marten de Roon 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emil Holm 67'
  • goal Santiago Castro 80'
  • yellowcard Dan Ndoye 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Remo Freuler 1' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Fabbian 35' yellowcard
  • Santiago Castro 46' goal
  • Jhon Lucumi 50' redcard
  • Lukasz Skorupski 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raoul Bellanova 29'
  • yellowcard Kossonou Odilon 33'
  • yellowcard Ederson 73'
  • goal Lazar Samardzic 90'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Teun Koopmeiners 14' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 28' goal
  • Emil Holm 64' yellowcard
  • Ederson 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Posch 6'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 57'
  • goal Lewis Ferguson 61'
  • yellowcard Jens Odgaard 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Stefan Posch 30' yellowcard
  • Remo Freuler 70' yellowcard
  • Lewis Ferguson 86' goal
  • yellowcard Gian Piero Gasperini 26'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 69'
  • yellowcard Davide Zappacosta 79'
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 88'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Scamacca 90'+5'