MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 22:40:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Mar 29, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Estudiantes

Defensa
1 - 0
Estudiantes

Bogarin (25')
Lopez (54'), Caceres (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandez (59'), Zapiola (90+5')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 1-1 Defensa
Saturday, March 16 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 3-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawEstudiantes
41.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.37% (0.02 0.02) 30.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)60.51% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.37% (-0.064 -0.06)80.62% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)28.65% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)64.46% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.79% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)36.21% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.01% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)72.99% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 41.62%
    Estudiantes 30%
    Draw 28.36%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 12.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.36%
0-1 @ 10.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 30%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 12
Estudiantes
2-1
Defensa
Zapiola (31'), Zuqui (68')
Nunez (63'), Zapiola (73'), Rollheiser (85')
Cardona (74' pen.)
Caceres (58'), Cardona (80'), Sant'Anna (87'), Castellani (90')
May 14, 2023 6pm
Sep 20, 2022 1.30am
Oct 16, 2021 1.15am
Second Phase
Defensa
2-1
Estudiantes
Merentiel (22'), Bou (71')
Colombo (41')
Del Prete (51')
Tobio (61')
Feb 17, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 20
Estudiantes
1-2
Defensa
Retegui (82')
Rojo (30'), Mascherano (40'), Diaz (83')
Pizzini (21'), Botta (63')
Acevedo (45'), Breitenbruch (74'), Mainero (86')
rhs 2.0
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