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Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Charlotte FC

NY City
2 - 1
Charlotte FC

Parks (41'), Martinez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vargas (3')
Urso (21'), Vargas (50'), Westwood (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-0 DC United
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Charlotte FC

The Boys in Blue have been very compact and organised defensively over the past couple of matches, which has helped counter the ineffective attacking play of Bakrar. As for Charlotte, they have become a little predictable in recent matches, often resorting to counter-attacks down the wing but not looking very dangerous on the ball, which is why we are tipping the Pigeons to beat them for the first time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawCharlotte FC
55.39% (0.0049999999999955 0) 23.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.39% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)46.87% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)69.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)16.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)46.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)72.93% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 55.39%
    Charlotte FC 21.39%
    Draw 23.21%
New York City FCDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 9.66% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 5.85%
3-0 @ 5.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.61%
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 55.39%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 6.17%
1-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 21.39%

How you voted: NY City vs Charlotte FC

New York City FC
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Charlotte FC
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-0
NY City
Malanda (8')
Westwood (34'), Vargas (73'), Urso (79')

Ilencic (9'), Martins (65')
Jul 6, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-1
Charlotte FC
Cufre (81')
Haak (58'), Parks (88')
Gaines (17')
Tuiloma (90+2')
Aug 18, 2022 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321811730
2Inter MiamiInter Miami1585235201529
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146622520524
4Toronto147162019122
5New York City FCNY City146351716121
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
7Columbus Crew134721612419
8DC United144642023-318
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542421317
10Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
12Orlando City123451420-613
13CF MontrealMontreal133371630-1412
14Chicago Fire142571223-1111
15New England RevolutionNew England12219924-157

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126331914521
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin145541615120
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston135351112-118
9St Louis City133731919016
10Portland TimbersPortland144462627-116
11Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas132651921-212
13Dallas123361216-412
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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