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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Valencia logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Valencia

Seferovic (60')
de la Torre (27'), Veiga (41'), Carvalhal (63'), Tapia (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kluivert (8'), Mari (88')
Diakhaby (19'), Moriba (73'), Paulista (74'), Almeida (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, May 3 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Villarreal
Wednesday, May 3 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Valencia

There is simply no downplaying the importance of this match, and a win for Valencia would boost their survival hopes while pulling Celta into the battle to avoid the drop. It would not be a surprise to see a home or away win here, but we just have a feeling that the points will ultimately be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawValencia
45% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04) 27.41% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 27.59% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.87% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.83% (0.215 0.21)58.17% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18% (0.169 0.17)78.82% (-0.166 -0.17)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.079999999999998 0.08)25.77% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (0.105 0.11)60.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.14% (0.193 0.19)36.86% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (0.192 0.19)73.64% (-0.187 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 44.99%
    Valencia 27.59%
    Draw 27.41%
Celta VigoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 12.87% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.48% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 27.59%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Valencia

Celta Vigo
41.8%
Draw
25.5%
Valencia
32.7%
55
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 6
Valencia
3-0
Celta Vigo
Castillejo (37'), Maranhao (82'), Almeida (90+3')
Guillamon (16')
May 21, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 38
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
gameweek 16
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Aspas (11')
Beltran (9'), Aspas (12'), Nolito (90+6')
Duro (19'), Gomez (53')
Gomez (36'), Gaya (51')
Feb 20, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 24
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vallejo (90+4'), Gameiro (90+8')
Kang-in (56'), Gaya (62')

Nolito (14'), Mina (31'), Tapia (53')
Blanco (64')
Sep 19, 2020 8pm
gameweek 2
Celta Vigo
2-1
Valencia
Aspas (13', 57')
Tapia (25'), Yokuslu (90+2'), Villar (90+7')
Gomez (46')
Esquerdo (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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