Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Celta Vigo |
47.23% ( 1.07) | 24.38% ( 0.11) | 28.38% ( -1.18) |
Both teams to score 56.71% ( -1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.36% ( -1.2) | 45.63% ( 1.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.04% ( -1.15) | 67.96% ( 1.15) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.58% ( -0.04) | 19.42% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.75% ( -0.06) | 51.24% ( 0.05) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.37% ( -1.44) | 29.62% ( 1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.33% ( -1.79) | 65.66% ( 1.79) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 47.23% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.28% Total : 28.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
16 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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