League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Colchester2 - 1Newport
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Colchester United 2-1 Newport County
With two porous defences going head-to-head, we expect neither of the teams to come away with a clean sheet here. That said, we also fancy the home side to get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Colchester United.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Newport County |
41.17% ( 0.08) | 25.32% ( -0) | 33.51% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.1% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
