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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
DC United

Atlanta
2 - 3
DC United

Almada (16' pen.), Peltola (48' og.)
Slisz (30'), Almada (45+2'), Giakoumakis (70'), Abram (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Benteke (19', 44', 55')
Dajome (38'), Antley (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 DC United

Both teams are quite evenly matched heading into this weekend and that should lead to a competitive and closely contested match. With little between them in the league and with their recent form, it would not be a surprise to see them share the points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawDC United
65.12% (5.832 5.83) 19.27% (-1.931 -1.93) 15.61% (-3.895 -3.9)
Both teams to score 55.58% (-1.304 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.65% (2.126 2.13)38.35% (-2.12 -2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.37% (2.222 2.22)60.63% (-2.216 -2.22)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.95% (2.274 2.27)11.05% (-2.269 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.6% (4.784 4.78)35.4% (-4.778 -4.78)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (-3.143 -3.14)37.51% (3.149 3.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (-3.22 -3.22)74.3% (3.224 3.22)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 65.12%
    DC United 15.61%
    Draw 19.27%
Atlanta UnitedDrawDC United
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.749 0.75)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.38% (1.133 1.13)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.564 0.56)
4-0 @ 4.07% (0.917 0.92)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.622 0.62)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.158 0.16)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.521 0.52)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.4 0.4)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 65.12%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.903 -0.9)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.472 -0.47)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.432 -0.43)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.27%
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.875 -0.88)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.825 -0.82)
0-2 @ 1.99% (-0.619 -0.62)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.309 -0.31)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.439 -0.44)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.61%

How you voted: Atlanta vs DC United

Atlanta United
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
DC United
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
3-1
DC United
Giakoumakis (13'), Gutman (49'), Wolff (73')
Fortune (41'), Pineda (42'), Giakoumakis (83')
Fountas (27')
Pines (51'), Birnbaum (69'), Klich (89')
Aug 28, 2022 9pm
Atlanta
3-2
DC United
Franco (49'), Martinez (62'), Sanchez (70')
Sanchez (18')
Morrison (47'), Kamara (55')
Rooney (45+3')
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-1
Atlanta
Canouse (34'), Djeffal (38')
Campbell (33'), Conway (81'), Almada (89')
Sep 18, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Atlanta
3-2
DC United
Barco (18'), Martinez (64'), Bello (87')
Franco (65'), Araujo (81')
Felipe (75'), Flores (90+4')
Brillant (27'), Moreno (34'), Paredes (50'), Alfaro (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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