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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Frosinone logo

Fiorentina
5 - 1
Frosinone

Belotti (16'), Ikone (19'), Martinez (43'), Gonzalez (53'), Barak (85')
Martinez (4'), Terracciano (69'), N'Zola (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mazzitelli (66')
Romagnoli (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Frosinone

With Roma and Juventus to come next for Frosinone, there seems no end in sight to their spiral down the standings - and Fiorentina can get off the mark for 2024 at their expense. Neither side has been able to keep the back door shut of late, so several goals could be shared at Stadio Franchi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawFrosinone
65.42% (0.133 0.13) 19.48% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 15.1% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.5% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.55% (0.146 0.15)40.45% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17% (0.152 0.15)62.82% (-0.155 -0.16)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.41% (0.078000000000003 0.08)11.58% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.44% (0.16999999999999 0.17)36.55% (-0.174 -0.17)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)39.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.18%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 65.41%
    Frosinone 15.1%
    Draw 19.48%
FiorentinaDrawFrosinone
2-0 @ 10.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.64% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.1% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.12% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.82% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 65.41%
1-1 @ 9.16% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.48%
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42%
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.1%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Frosinone

Fiorentina
80.6%
Draw
14.5%
Frosinone
4.8%
62
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Frosinone
1-1
Fiorentina
Soule (70')
Mazzitelli (51'), Okoli (64'), Oyono (87')
Gonzalez (19')
Milenkovic (22'), Parisi (69'), Mandragora (90+1')
Apr 7, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
0-1
Frosinone

Dabo (90')
Ciofani (84')
Beghetto (41'), Paganini (59'), Capuano (71'), Goldaniga (90')
Nov 9, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Frosinone
1-1
Fiorentina
Pinamonti (89')
Zampano (26'), Ariaudo (48'), Maiello (68')
Benassi (47')
Mar 20, 2016 2pm
Frosinone
0-0
Fiorentina
Ajeti (25'), Gori (35'), Kragl (82'), Sammarco (88')
Alonso (31'), Roncaglia (36'), Astori (49'), Kalinic (81')
Nov 1, 2015 11.30am
Fiorentina
4-1
Frosinone
Rebic (24'), Rodriguez (29'), Babacar (31' pen.), Suarez (43')
Frara (87')
Paganini (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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