Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
44.96% ( -0.74) | 23.01% ( 0.21) | 32.03% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 63.81% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.75% ( -0.77) | 37.25% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.54% ( -0.83) | 59.46% ( 0.83) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.98% ( -0.58) | 17.02% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.84% ( -1.04) | 47.16% ( 1.04) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% ( -0.06) | 23.1% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.05% ( -0.1) | 56.95% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.23% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
6 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
10 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
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