Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
58.33% ( 0.7) | 20.43% ( -0.02) | 21.23% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 62.62% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.72% ( -0.83) | 34.28% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.82% ( -0.94) | 56.18% ( 0.95) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.36% ( -0.07) | 11.64% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.33% ( -0.16) | 36.67% ( 0.16) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.86% ( -1.06) | 29.14% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.93% ( -1.33) | 65.07% ( 1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.79% Total : 58.34% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.14% Total : 21.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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