Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
47.9% ( 0.12) | 22.95% ( 0.09) | 29.15% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 62.29% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.48% ( -0.53) | 38.52% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.18% ( -0.57) | 60.81% ( 0.57) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.59% ( -0.16) | 16.4% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.94% ( -0.28) | 46.05% ( 0.28) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.51% ( -0.4) | 25.48% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.67% ( -0.55) | 60.32% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 47.9% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 29.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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