Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 57.8%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 22.19% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 3-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
57.8% ( -0.56) | 20.01% ( 0.06) | 22.19% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 65.72% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.1% ( 0.35) | 30.9% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.73% ( 0.41) | 52.27% ( -0.42) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.27% ( -0.04) | 10.72% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.33% ( -0.08) | 34.67% ( 0.08) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.61% ( 0.61) | 26.39% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.45% ( 0.8) | 61.54% ( -0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.33% Total : 57.8% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.01% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.99% Total : 22.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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