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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Union Berlin logo

Stuttgart
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Guirassy (19'), Fuhrich (65')
Vagnomann (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Khedira (39'), Tousart (77')
Schafer (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin

Union Berlin have only lost one of their last five Bundesliga matches, but they will be coming up against a Stuttgart side in excellent form. The hosts are winning a lot of games at the moment, and we are expecting them to put another three points on the board on Friday night in routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 3-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawUnion Berlin
72.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 16.66%10.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)38.49% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.21% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)60.78% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.78% (-0.012 -0.01)9.21% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.81% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)31.18% (0.029 0.03)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.69% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)45.3% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.82% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)81.17% (0.071000000000012 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 72.75%
    Union Berlin 10.58%
    Draw 16.66%
StuttgartDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.86% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.43% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 72.75%
1-1 @ 7.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 16.66%
0-1 @ 3.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 10.58%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Union Berlin

Stuttgart
79.7%
Draw
12.7%
Union Berlin
7.6%
118
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Stuttgart
1-0
Union Berlin
Undav (45')
Stergiou (88'), Ito (90+1')

Tousart (85'), Fischer (86'), Gosens (90+1')
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Union Berlin
0-3
Stuttgart

Haberer (34'), Behrens (49')
Guirassy (16'), Wamangituka (81'), Undav (88')
Rouault (34'), Hoeness (35')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
3-0
Stuttgart
Becker (51'), Behrens (65'), Haraguchi (68' og.)
Oct 9, 2022 6.30pm
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
1-1
Stuttgart
Awoniyi (41' pen.)
Giesselmann (32'), Promel (90+1'), Schafer (90+4')
Kalajdzic (90')
Mavropanos (40'), Ito (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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