MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 02:47:13| >> :120:5016:5016:
Champions League header

Champions League
Atletico Madrid logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Porto

Atletico
2 - 1
Porto

Hermoso (90+1'), Griezmann (90+11')
Koke (56'), Hermoso (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uribe (90+6' pen.)
Pepe (54'), Uribe (68'), Taremi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico
Saturday, September 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Porto

Last Six:
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-2 Porto
Saturday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Porto

 Both of these sides will fancy their chances of winning on Wednesday night, but it is very difficult to back Atletico to lose at Wanda Metropolitano in any game against any opposition. It would not be a surprise to see a home victory, but we have a feeling that Porto could pick up a welcome point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawPorto
34.44% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 26.31% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 39.25% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 52.99% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)51.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.55% (0.004999999999999 0)73.45% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)28.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)64.39% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (0.043999999999997 0.04)25.8% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (0.061 0.06)60.75% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 34.44%
    Porto 39.25%
    Draw 26.31%
Atletico MadridDrawPorto
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.78% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.44%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.77% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 39.25%

How you voted: Atletico vs Porto

Atletico Madrid
60.8%
Draw
25.0%
Porto
14.2%
352
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2021 8pm
Group B
Porto
1-3
Atletico
Oliveira (90+6' pen.)
Taremi (32'), Otavio (67'), Pepe (69')
Wendell (70'), Marchesin (75')
Griezmann (56'), Correa (90'), De Paul (90+2')
Correa (67')
Carrasco (67')
Sep 15, 2021 8pm
Group B
Atletico
0-0
Porto

Felix (51'), Kondogbia (52'), Felipe (71')

Diaz (16'), Sanusi (21'), Uribe (41'), Vitinha (67'), Corona (76'), Wendell (83')
Mbemba (90+5')
Dec 11, 2013 7.45pm
Group G
Atletico
2-0
Porto
> Match Report
Oct 1, 2013 7.45pm
Group G
Porto
1-2
Atletico
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!