Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 38%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes has a probability of 36.65% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.96%).
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Braga |
36.65% ( 0.06) | 25.35% ( 0.02) | 38% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 56.5% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.73% ( -0.11) | 47.27% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.5% ( -0.1) | 69.49% ( 0.1) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.8% ( -0.02) | 25.19% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.07% ( -0.02) | 59.93% ( 0.02) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.53% ( -0.1) | 24.46% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.09% ( -0.13) | 58.91% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.65% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |