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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Birmingham logo

West Brom
1 - 0
Birmingham

Weimann (85')
Kipre (34'), Corberan (34'), Furlong (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (33'), Bielik (55'), Dozzell (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Birmingham City

Despite losing to Wolves last time out, West Brom showed signs of promise against their Premier League visitors and will be desperate to get back to winning ways this weekend. Birmingham could have a different look to them with a number of January signings in line for their full debuts, and we feel that Blues will be able to earn a point at The Hawthorns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham City
60.03% (-0.382 -0.38) 21.8% (0.194 0.19) 18.17% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 52.39% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (-0.544 -0.54)45.24% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41% (-0.521 -0.52)67.58% (0.518 0.52)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (-0.303 -0.3)14.65% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (-0.578 -0.58)42.79% (0.574 0.57)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (-0.105 -0.1)38.62% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.64% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)75.36% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 60.02%
    Birmingham City 18.17%
    Draw 21.79%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.86% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 60.02%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 18.17%

How you voted: West Brom vs Birmingham

West Bromwich Albion
44.0%
Draw
48.0%
Birmingham City
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Birmingham
3-1
West Brom
Bacuna (23' pen.), Sanderson (38'), Gardner (87')
Bielik (25'), Longelo (90+4')
Swift (5')
Kipre (86')
Feb 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Birmingham
2-0
West Brom
Mejbri (10'), Bielik (52')
Sep 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
West Brom
2-3
Birmingham
Wallace (23'), Thomas-Asante (83' pen.)
Hogan (14', 54', 72')
Apr 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
West Brom
Taylor (67' pen.)
Taylor (75'), Bacuna (85')

Livermore (75')
Oct 15, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
West Brom
1-0
Birmingham
Grant (75')
Clarke (72'), Grant (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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