Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo5 - 0Tolima
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Tolima
Thursday, May 25 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 25 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Sao Paulo 1-0 Deportes Tolima
Tolima have already shown during the group stages that they are capable impressing against the most illustrious teams in the group. Nevertheless, while we feel that only one goal will be netted in this contest, it could come for the home side, securing a potentially-decisive result for both clubs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 71.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 10.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.51%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sao Paulo | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
71.09% ( -0.38) | 18.65% ( 0.24) | 10.27% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 41.77% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.62% ( -0.58) | 48.38% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.48% ( -0.53) | 70.52% ( 0.54) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.67% ( -0.27) | 12.33% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.87% ( -0.58) | 38.14% ( 0.59) |
Deportes Tolima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.64% ( -0.08) | 52.36% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.76% ( -0.05) | 86.24% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Sao Paulo 71.08%
Deportes Tolima 10.27%
Draw 18.65%
Sao Paulo | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
2-0 @ 14.14% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 71.08% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 18.65% | 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.27% |
How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Tolima
Sao Paulo
100%Draw
0.0%Deportes Tolima
0.0%5
Head to Head
May 2, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Tolima
0-0
Sao Paulo
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-11 21:48:08
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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