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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 67.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for NEC had a probability of 15.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | NEC |
67.64% ( 1.5) | 16.92% | 15.44% ( -1.5) |
Both teams to score 64.51% ( -3.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.05% ( -3.13) | 26.95% ( 3.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.58% ( -4.07) | 47.42% ( 4.07) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.6% ( -0.51) | 7.4% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.32% ( -1.36) | 26.68% ( 1.36) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.67% ( -3.72) | 30.33% ( 3.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.49% ( -4.68) | 66.51% ( 4.69) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 1.05) 3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.75) 1-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.94) 4-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.43) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.38) 4-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.37) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.14) 5-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.24) 4-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.3) 6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.62% Total : 67.64% | 1-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.39) Other @ 0.41% Total : 16.92% | 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 15.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |