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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
52.18% ( 0.38) | 20.49% ( -0.01) | 27.33% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 70.08% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.24% ( -0.3) | 27.76% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.56% ( -0.38) | 48.44% ( 0.38) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.81% | 11.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.3% ( 0) | 35.7% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.91% ( -0.38) | 21.08% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.09% ( -0.59) | 53.9% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.18% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |