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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
28.68% ( 0.14) | 24.04% ( 0.09) | 47.28% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.07% ( -0.32) | 43.93% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.68% ( -0.31) | 66.31% ( 0.31) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.46% ( -0.06) | 28.54% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% ( -0.08) | 64.32% ( 0.07) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.27% ( -0.22) | 18.73% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.9% ( -0.37) | 50.1% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.68% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.36% Total : 47.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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