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Europa League
AEK Athens
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
OPAP Arena
Brighton logo

AEK Athens
0 - 1
Brighton


Gacinovic (27'), Zuber (63')
Gacinovic (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro (55' pen.)
Veltman (12')

The Match

Match Report

A Joao Pedro penalty earns Brighton & Hove Albion a spot in the knockout stages of the Europa League as the Seagulls beat AEK Athens 1-0 at the Agia Sophia Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AEK Athens and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: PAS Giannina 0-1 AEK Athens
Sunday, November 26 at 3pm in Greek Superleague

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Brighton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
AEK AthensDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
38.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 23.78% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 37.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 62.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.24% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)39.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.11% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.84% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)53.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 38.54%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 37.68%
    Draw 23.77%
AEK AthensDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.44%
1-0 @ 6.95%
2-0 @ 5.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 38.54%
1-1 @ 10.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 37.68%

How you voted: AEK Athens vs Brighton

AEK Athens
19.9%
Draw
14.2%
Brighton & Hove Albion
66.0%
141
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Brighton
2-3
AEK Athens
Pedro (30' pen., 67' pen.)
Julio (47'), Estupinan (66'), De Zerbi (71'), Paul van Hecke (76'), Welbeck (90+3')
Sidibe (11'), Gacinovic (40'), Ponce (84')
Sidibe (47'), Mitoglou (66'), Szymanski (67'), Ponce (69'), Gacinovic (72'), Mantalos (90+8'), Mohammadi (90+10')
> Match Report
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