Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 5pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
Larnaca2 - 1Partizan
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between AEK Larnaca and Partizan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Larnaca 1-1 Midtjylland (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 26 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 26 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Partizan had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Partizan win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Larnaca would win this match.
Result | ||
AEK Larnaca | Draw | Partizan |
37.43% ( -0.17) | 26.48% ( -0.02) | 36.09% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 52.6% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.75% ( 0.1) | 52.25% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.05% ( 0.09) | 73.95% ( -0.09) |
AEK Larnaca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.92% ( -0.05) | 27.08% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.54% ( -0.07) | 62.46% ( 0.06) |
Partizan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.13% ( 0.16) | 27.87% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.52% ( 0.21) | 63.47% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
AEK Larnaca 37.43%
Partizan 36.09%
Draw 26.48%
AEK Larnaca | Draw | Partizan |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.43% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.09% |
How you voted: Larnaca vs Partizan
AEK Larnaca
29.5%Draw
36.1%Partizan
34.4%61
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-21 09:11:33
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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