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Europa League
Partizan
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadion Partizana

Partizan
2 - 2
Larnaca

Gomes (24', 54')
Natcho (52'), Markovic (60'), Urosevic (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gyurcso (51'), Faraj (57')
Casas (81'), Mamas (90+1'), Piric (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Partizan and AEK Larnaca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Partizan

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Last Game: Larnaca 2-1 Partizan
Thursday, August 4 at 5pm in Europa League
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AEK Larnaca

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Last Game: Larnaca 2-1 Partizan
Thursday, August 4 at 5pm in Europa League
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We said: Partizan 2-0 AEK Larnaca

 Partizan have been near-impenetrable on their home turf in recent weeks, claiming eight wins and two draws from their last 10 games. We are tipping them to turn this tie around in front of their home crowd against an opposing side who have managed just two wins in their last seven games on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizan win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partizan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
PartizanDrawAEK Larnaca
41.49% (0.032999999999994 0.03) 25.94% (-0.108 -0.11) 32.57% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.73% (0.385 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (0.484 0.48)50.51% (-0.483 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (0.427 0.43)72.43% (-0.425 -0.42)
Partizan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (0.23099999999999 0.23)24.1% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.6% (0.328 0.33)58.4% (-0.327 -0.33)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (0.29300000000001 0.29)29.21% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84% (0.358 0.36)65.16% (-0.357 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Partizan 41.48%
    AEK Larnaca 32.57%
    Draw 25.93%
PartizanDrawAEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.48%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.57%

How you voted: Partizan vs Larnaca

Partizan
81.5%
Draw
10.8%
AEK Larnaca
7.7%
65
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 5pm
Larnaca
2-1
Partizan
Angel (34'), Milicevic (70')
Sanjurjo (59'), Tomovic (68')
Menig (18')
Vujacic (59'), Urosevic (59'), Fejsa (83'), Belic (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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