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Europa League
Dynamo Kiev
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
NSK Olimpijs'kyj

Dynamo Kiev
0 - 1
Larnaca


Andrievsky (35'), Sydorchuk (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gyurcso (8')
Angel (42'), Mamas (44'), Pons (63'), Piric (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Dynamo Kiev and AEK Larnaca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Kiev

Last Six:
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Lviv
Sunday, September 11 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

AEK Larnaca

Last Six:
    Last Game: Larnaca 1-2 Rennes
    Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

    We said: Dynamo Kiev 1-1 AEK Larnaca

     Both sides lost narrowly on matchday one, and we believe they will be involved in a closely-fought contest, which we think could result in a draw with both sides looking to avoid beginning the group stage with consecutive defeats. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

    Result
    Dynamo KievDrawAEK Larnaca
    41.49% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 25.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 32.75% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
    Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    50.31% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)49.68% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    28.3% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)71.7% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
    Dynamo Kiev Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    76.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    42.13% (-0.012 -0.01)57.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
    AEK Larnaca Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    71.31% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)28.69% (0.038 0.04)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    35.48% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)64.51% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
    Score Analysis
        Dynamo Kiev 41.49%
        AEK Larnaca 32.75%
        Draw 25.75%
    Dynamo KievDrawAEK Larnaca
    1-0 @ 9.79% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
    2-1 @ 8.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
    2-0 @ 7.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
    3-1 @ 4.22%
    3-0 @ 3.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
    3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
    4-1 @ 1.52%
    4-0 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
    Other @ 1.96%
    Total : 41.49%
    		1-1 @ 12.22%
    0-0 @ 6.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
    Other @ 0.13%
    Total : 25.75%
    		0-1 @ 8.5% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
    1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
    0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.004 -0)
    1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
    Other @ 2.64%
    Total : 32.75%

    How you voted: Dynamo Kiev vs Larnaca

    Dynamo Kiev
    73.9%
    Draw
    19.6%
    AEK Larnaca
    6.5%
    46
    rhs 2.0
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