Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.72%) and 1-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
31.29% ( 0.05) | 30.06% ( -0.01) | 38.65% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 41.53% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.38% ( 0.02) | 65.61% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.68% ( 0.02) | 84.32% ( -0.02) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.96% ( 0.05) | 38.04% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.19% ( 0.05) | 74.81% ( -0.05) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.02% ( -0.01) | 32.98% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.44% ( -0.01) | 69.56% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 31.29% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.06% | 0-1 @ 13.91% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |