Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Alaves |
56.03% | 25.49% | 18.47% |
Both teams to score 42.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.05% | 58.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.57% | 79.43% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.88% | 21.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.05% | 53.95% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.68% | 46.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.04% | 81.96% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 15.2% 2-0 @ 11.82% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 4.72% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.01% Total : 56.02% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.53% 1-2 @ 4.51% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.39% Total : 18.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
9 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |