Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.73%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Villarreal |
14.41% | 21.77% | 63.81% |
Both teams to score 44.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.41% | 51.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.62% | 73.38% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.7% | 47.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.29% | 82.71% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.45% | 15.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.52% | 44.48% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 5.51% 2-1 @ 3.84% 2-0 @ 2.06% 3-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.05% Total : 14.41% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.77% | 0-1 @ 13.68% 0-2 @ 12.73% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 7.9% 1-3 @ 5.92% 0-4 @ 3.68% 1-4 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-5 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.03% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.96% Total : 63.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
16 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |