Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Elche |
53.46% ( 0.52) | 24.61% ( -0.12) | 21.93% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 49.56% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48% ( 0.04) | 51.99% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.27% ( 0.04) | 73.73% ( -0.03) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( 0.22) | 19.4% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.78% ( 0.36) | 51.21% ( -0.36) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.48% ( -0.38) | 38.51% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.74% ( -0.36) | 75.26% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 53.45% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |