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La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Valencia logo

Almeria
2 - 1
Valencia

Melero (49'), Babic (58')
Chumi (20'), Suarez Charris (23'), Robertone (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Castillejo (61')
Foulquier (7'), Perez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, April 2 at 1pm in La Liga

Valencia

All competitions
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Valencia

 Valencia have the third-worst away record in the league this season, so we are finding it tough to back them to secure all three points. Almeria's impressive home form this term makes them the favourites, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawValencia
39.19% (-0.196 -0.2) 27.15% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 33.66% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.17% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)55.18% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)76.42% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.127 -0.13)27.47% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-0.166 -0.17)62.96% (0.166 0.17)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (0.10000000000001 0.1)30.83% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (0.117 0.12)67.11% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 39.19%
    Valencia 33.66%
    Draw 27.14%
AlmeriaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.07% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.19%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.97% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Almeria vs Valencia

Almeria
35.8%
Draw
35.8%
Valencia
28.4%
67
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2023 8pm
Valencia
2-2
Almeria
Kluivert (48'), Gaya (65')
Cavani (45'), Almeida (83')
Chumi (54'), Portillo (74')
Melero (80')
May 23, 2015 5.30pm
Almeria
2-3
Valencia
Partey (9'), Soriano (37')
Manuel Casado (68'), Silva (75')
Otamendi (28'), Feghouli (45'), Paco (80')
Barragan (34'), Parejo (69'), Feghouli (75'), Gaya (86'), Fuego (92')
Parejo (89')
> Match Report
Jan 17, 2015 5pm
Valencia
3-2
Almeria
Parejo (11'), Rodrigo (28'), Negredo (83')
Orban (57'), De Paul (86')
Hemed (13', 33')
Partey (40'), Dubarbier (81')
Mar 27, 2014 9pm
Almeria
2-2
Valencia
Diaz (53', 56')
Corona (9'), Parreu (25'), Trujillo (38'), Diaz (56'), Antonio Verza (86')
Keita (2'), Vargas (34')
Fuego (64'), Pereira (90')
> Match Report
Oct 30, 2013 7pm
Valencia
1-2
Almeria
Jonas (33')
Torsiglieri (61'), Vidal (70')
Dubarbier (20'), Barbosa (28'), Pellerano (35'), Nelson (83'), Suso (85')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417
> La Liga Full Table


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