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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Almeria

Celta Vigo
1 - 0
Almeria

Mingueza (73')
Sanchez (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lopy (78'), Radovanovic (90')
Langa (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Atletico
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Almeria

Almeria are not losing games at the moment, but we are finding it difficult to back them to win considering their struggles in that department this season. Celta's home form has also been very disappointing this term, so we are backing a low-scoring draw in the relegation six-pointer on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAlmeria
47.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 25.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 27.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 53.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)49.65% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)20.88% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.41% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)53.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 47.59%
    Almeria 27.26%
    Draw 25.15%
Celta VigoDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 10.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 8.34%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.59%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.28%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 27.26%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Almeria

Celta Vigo
57.4%
Draw
29.5%
Almeria
13.1%
122
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 4
Almeria
2-3
Celta Vigo
Akieme (54'), Arribas (68')
Pubill (28')
Nunez (24'), Strand Larsen (33'), Swedberg (87')
Sanchez (55')
Apr 2, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 27
Celta Vigo
2-2
Almeria
Seferovic (10'), Perez (42')
Babic (7'), Puigmal (32')
Oct 29, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 12
Almeria
3-1
Celta Vigo
Lazaro (52'), De la Hoz (60'), Eguaras (90+6')
Veiga (25')
Dec 17, 2015 7pm
Round Four
Celta Vigo
1-0
Almeria
Wass (41')

Velez (40'), Fatau (45'), Zabaco (54')
Dec 2, 2015 8pm
Round Four
Almeria
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pozo (44')
Cuellar (26'), Fatau (41')
Aspas (17', 35'), Gudetti (73')
Aspas (6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2GironaGirona33225669402971
3Barcelona32217464372770
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Getafe331013104145-443
10Villarreal32119125155-442
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla32910134145-437
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Mallorca32613132638-1231
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria33111213267-3514


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