Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Celta Vigo |
30.92% ( -0.29) | 28.32% ( 0.23) | 40.76% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 46% ( -0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.93% ( -0.89) | 60.07% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.71% ( -0.68) | 80.29% ( 0.68) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.72% ( -0.69) | 35.28% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.96% ( -0.73) | 72.04% ( 0.72) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% ( -0.4) | 28.92% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.2% ( -0.5) | 64.8% ( 0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.09% Total : 30.92% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 40.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |