Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Real Valladolid |
34.88% ( 0.66) | 27.06% ( 0.11) | 38.05% ( -0.77) |
Both teams to score 50.62% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.3% ( -0.38) | 54.7% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.98% ( -0.32) | 76.02% ( 0.32) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.2% ( 0.23) | 29.8% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.12% ( 0.28) | 65.88% ( -0.27) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.11% ( -0.62) | 27.89% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.5% ( -0.79) | 63.5% ( 0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |