Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
32.98% ( -0.78) | 27.91% ( -0.24) | 39.11% ( 1.02) |
Both teams to score 47.74% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.83% ( 0.76) | 58.17% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.17% ( 0.59) | 78.82% ( -0.6) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.19% ( -0.14) | 32.81% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.63% ( -0.15) | 69.37% ( 0.15) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( 0.97) | 28.94% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.17% ( 1.19) | 64.83% ( -1.2) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.98% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.67% Total : 39.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |