Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Almeria |
65.29% ( -1.45) | 20.71% ( 0.77) | 14% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 46.63% ( -0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.85% ( -1.8) | 48.15% ( 1.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.69% ( -1.68) | 70.31% ( 1.67) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.04% ( -0.99) | 13.96% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.56% ( -1.98) | 41.45% ( 1.98) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.19% ( -0.08) | 45.81% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.43% ( -0.07) | 81.57% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.5% Total : 65.28% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.71% | 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.24% Total : 14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
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