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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
36.48% ( 0.05) | 24.93% ( 0.01) | 38.59% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.65% ( -0.06) | 45.35% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.31% ( -0.06) | 67.68% ( 0.06) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.59% ( -0) | 24.41% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.17% ( -0) | 58.83% ( 0) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.71% ( -0.06) | 23.29% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.78% ( -0.08) | 57.22% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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