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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
The City Ground
Newcastle logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 3
Newcastle

Elanga (26'), Hudson-Odoi (45+6')
Gibbs-White (59')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Guimaraes (10', 66'), Schar (43')
Botman (58'), Wilson (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Bruno Guimaraes scores a brace as Newcastle United record a 3-2 victory over Nottingham Forest in Saturday's Premier League contest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle United
31.53% (1.088 1.09) 24.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 44.28% (-1.085 -1.09)
Both teams to score 59.28% (0.582 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (0.51799999999999 0.52)43.08% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (0.509 0.51)65.48% (-0.512 -0.51)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (0.953 0.95)26.23% (-0.955 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (1.26 1.26)61.33% (-1.263 -1.26)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-0.253 -0.25)19.64% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (-0.412 -0.41)51.6% (0.409 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 31.53%
    Newcastle United 44.28%
    Draw 24.18%
Nottingham ForestDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.51% (0.174 0.17)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.142 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 31.53%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.82% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.7% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 44.28%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Newcastle

Nottingham Forest
22.3%
Draw
26.1%
Newcastle United
51.6%
157
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Newcastle
1-3
Nott'm Forest
Isak (23' pen.)
Gordon (27'), Guimaraes (85'), Schar (88')
Wood (45+1', 53', 60')
Sangare (26'), Montiel (27'), Williams (84')
Mar 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Nott'm Forest
1-2
Newcastle
Dennis (26')
Isak (45+2', 90+3')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Newcastle
2-0
Nott'm Forest
Schar (58'), Wilson (78')

Worrall (15'), Williams (23'), O'Brien (56')
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Newcastle
Murphy (2'), Cash (90'), Dias (90')
Dias (68'), Hefele (76'), Robinson (83')
Rondon (90')
Joselu (76'), Longstaff (80'), Perez (90')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Newcastle
2-3
Nott'm Forest
Mitrovic (3'), Aarons (45')
Hanley (85')
Cummings (29', 31'), Walker (97')
Worrall (83'), Mancienne (111')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
11Bournemouth34129134960-1145
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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