Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 16.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
63.03% ( 0.26) | 20.58% ( 0.39) | 16.39% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 52.76% ( -2.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.07% ( -3.02) | 42.93% ( 3.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.67% ( -3.06) | 65.33% ( 3.06) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87% ( -0.85) | 13% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.48% ( -1.77) | 39.52% ( 1.77) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.64% ( -2.62) | 39.35% ( 2.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.94% ( -2.54) | 76.05% ( 2.54) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.73) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 1.03) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.35) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.21% Total : 63.01% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.34) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.58% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.16) Other @ 2% Total : 16.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |