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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium
Toronto FC

Philadelphia
4 - 2
Toronto

MacNaughton (16' og.), Uhre (20', 43', 56')
Elliott (36'), Carranza (63')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Insigne (66'), Laryea (90+2')
Insigne (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Toronto

With a massive CCL semi-final just around the corner, the Union might have one eye on this game and another on their opening match with LAFC. That being said, both teams have quality all over the field, but the Reds have struggled to close out fixtures this year, while it has been the opposite story for Philly.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 12.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
69.61% (0.0010000000000048 0) 17.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 12.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 51.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.83% (0.0020000000000095 0)10.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.91%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 69.61%
    Toronto 12.47%
    Draw 17.92%
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
2-0 @ 11.3%
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.92%
4-1 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.15%
5-0 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 69.61%
1-1 @ 8.45%
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.92%
0-1 @ 3.7%
1-2 @ 3.61%
0-2 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 12.47%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Toronto

Philadelphia Union
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Toronto
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Philadelphia
4-0
Toronto
Gazdag (4', 60' pen., 63'), Uhre (42')

Bradley (29')
Apr 17, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Philadelphia
Jimenez (39'), Pozuelo (51')
Nelson (19'), Pozuelo (30'), Bradley (45+1'), Chung (75')
Carranza (34')
Carranza (53')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 41
Toronto
2-2
Philadelphia
Altidore (66'), Elliott (70' og.)
Mavinga (57')
Bedoya (1'), Santos (77')
Andres Martinez (87')
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 21
Philadelphia
3-0
Toronto
Glesnes (12'), Gazdag (33' pen.), Santos (36')
Glesnes (26'), Wagner (47'), Mbaizo (90')
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 21
Philadelphia
5-0
Toronto
Santos (27', 63', 68'), McKenzie (33'), Monteiro (55')
Monteiro (9'), Blake (64')

Auro (10'), Mullins (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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