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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Philadelphia

Acosta (69' pen.)
Mosquera (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mbaizo (21'), Blake (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Kansas
Sunday, April 2 at 1.40am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia Union

 FC Cincinnati have excelled so far this season, particularly in defence, and with home advantage, we back them to score another 1-0 victory against a Philadelphia Union side who are yet to hit their stride and face a fast turnaround from a tough continental outing.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.06% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 26.01% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 30.93% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.85% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.65% (0.068000000000005 0.07)51.35% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83% (0.059999999999999 0.06)73.17% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (0.060000000000002 0.06)23.69% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (0.087000000000003 0.09)57.81% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)30.74% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (0.010000000000005 0.01)67% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 43.05%
    Philadelphia Union 30.93%
    Draw 26.01%
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 30.93%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2022 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Philadelphia
1-0
Cincinnati
Flach (59')

Hagglund (25')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-1
Philadelphia
Vazquez (50'), Brenner (55'), Barreal (71')
Cameron (34'), Acosta (54'), Hagglund (66')
Aaronson (77')
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
Cincinnati
Bedoya (17')
Burke (64')
Vazquez (39')
Medunjanin (55'), Nwobodo (57'), Hagglund (62'), Nelson (68')
Oct 31, 2021 11.30pm
Philadelphia
2-0
Cincinnati
Gazdag (11'), Aaronson (53')
Oct 10, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
1-2
Philadelphia
Medunjanin (82')
Castillo (68')
Przybylko (45+3'), Aaronson (56')
Freese (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110
> Full Version


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