Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Newcastle United |
33.89% ( -0.17) | 25.23% ( -0.02) | 40.88% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 56.5% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.91% ( 0.03) | 47.08% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% ( 0.02) | 69.32% ( -0.03) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% ( -0.09) | 26.71% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.02% ( -0.12) | 61.98% ( 0.11) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.1% ( 0.1) | 22.89% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.35% ( 0.15) | 56.64% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.89% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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