MX23RW : Wednesday, May 22 00:39:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Ligue 1
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II
AJ Auxerre

Monaco
3 - 2
Auxerre

Ben Yedder (11'), Ben Seghir (30'), Embolo (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Abline (68'), da Costa (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Monaco
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-0 Auxerre

 Monaco are the second-highest scorers in Ligue 1, while Auxerre have the second-worst defensive record in the division, so the hosts look set to claim a comfortable victory on Wednesday, condemning the visitors to a seventh straight league defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawAuxerre
66.12% (0.127 0.13) 18.84% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 15.04% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.73% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.52% (0.155 0.16)37.49% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.29% (0.16699999999999 0.17)59.71% (-0.165 -0.16)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.45% (0.078000000000003 0.08)10.55% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.72% (0.17 0.17)34.29% (-0.167 -0.17)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (0.012 0.01)37.7% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52% (0.012 0.01)74.48% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 66.12%
    Auxerre 15.05%
    Draw 18.84%
MonacoDrawAuxerre
2-0 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.24% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.14% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.86% (0.016 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 66.12%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.98% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.84%
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 15.05%

How you voted: Monaco vs Auxerre

Monaco
88.9%
Draw
7.9%
Auxerre
3.2%
63
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 4pm
Auxerre
2-3
Monaco
Niang (30' pen.), Fofana (68' og.)
Jeanvier (34')
Ben Yedder (45+3' pen.), Ben Seghir (58', 85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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