Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
49.92% ( 0.03) | 24.23% ( 0.01) | 25.85% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.21% ( -0.09) | 46.79% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.95% ( -0.09) | 69.05% ( 0.09) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.21% ( -0.03) | 18.79% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.8% ( -0.04) | 50.2% ( 0.05) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.84% ( -0.08) | 32.16% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.36% ( -0.09) | 68.64% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.91% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 25.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |