Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.57%) and 0-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
23.48% ( -0.07) | 21.28% ( -0.07) | 55.23% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 62.71% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.44% ( 0.28) | 35.55% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.39% ( 0.31) | 57.6% ( -0.32) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% ( 0.1) | 27.98% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.38% ( 0.13) | 63.62% ( -0.13) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.07% ( 0.13) | 12.93% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.62% ( 0.28) | 39.37% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 23.48% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 55.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |