Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nice |
30.45% ( -0.01) | 25.46% ( -0) | 44.09% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.38% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.75% ( -0) | 49.25% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.69% ( -0) | 71.31% ( 0) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.99% ( -0.01) | 30.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.87% ( -0.01) | 66.13% ( 0.01) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% ( 0.01) | 22.29% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.25% ( 0.01) | 55.75% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.45% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |