Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
42.47% ( 0.01) | 23.57% | 33.96% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.48% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.69% ( -0.01) | 39.31% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.36% ( -0) | 61.64% ( 0.01) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.13% ( -0) | 18.87% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.67% ( -0) | 50.33% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77% ( -0.01) | 22.99% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.2% ( -0.01) | 56.79% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |