MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 18:02:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Feb 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lens logo

Montpellier
1 - 1
Lens

Maouassa (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fulgini (4')
Danso (20'), Sotoca (23'), Costa (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Troyes 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, February 19 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Lens

Having claimed back-to-back wins following Der Zakarian's arrival, Montpellier will fancy their chances of frustrating Lens, regardless of the 23-point gap between the two sides. The Blood and Gold have drawn four of their last five away league outings, so the European chasers might have to settle for another point on the road this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLens
16.21% (0.64 0.64) 20.4% (0.174 0.17) 63.39% (-0.81399999999999 -0.81)
Both teams to score 53% (0.903 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.58% (0.45500000000001 0.46)42.41% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18% (0.454 0.45)64.82% (-0.455 -0.45)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (1.1 1.1)39.26% (-1.1 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.03% (1.014 1.01)75.97% (-1.016 -1.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.26% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)12.74% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.02% (-0.193 -0.19)38.98% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 16.21%
    Lens 63.38%
    Draw 20.4%
Montpellier HSCDrawLens
1-0 @ 4.67% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 4.5% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 2.19% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.4% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.21%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.149 0.15)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.4%
0-2 @ 10.61% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-1 @ 10.3% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.29% (-0.229 -0.23)
1-3 @ 6.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.76% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-4 @ 3.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.092 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.64% (0.041 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 63.38%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lens

Montpellier HSC
27.7%
Draw
17.0%
Lens
55.3%
47
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 8pm
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Oct 17, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
1-0
Lens
Mavididi (47')
Chotard (58'), Esteve (67'), Ferri (68')
Ferri (86')

Wooh (29'), Costa (62'), Jean (77'), Said (81')
Jan 30, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
1-2
Lens
Wahi (78')
Mavididi (15'), Mendes (16'), Laborde (18'), Hilton (48')
Doucoure (7'), Kakuta (67')
Sotoca (51'), Banza (55'), Mauricio (83'), Haidara (90')
Dec 12, 2020 8pm
Lens
2-3
Montpellier
Omlin (36' og.), Kakuta (50' pen.)
Cahuzac (75')
Mavididi (16'), Mendes (26'), Laborde (69')
Mendes (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest331610750341658
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Reims32118133946-741
11Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
12Toulouse321010123942-340
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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