Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
16.21% ( 0.64) | 20.4% ( 0.17) | 63.39% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 53% ( 0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.58% ( 0.46) | 42.41% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% ( 0.45) | 64.82% ( -0.45) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.73% ( 1.1) | 39.26% ( -1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.03% ( 1.01) | 75.97% ( -1.02) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.26% ( -0.09) | 12.74% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.02% ( -0.19) | 38.98% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.09) Other @ 2% Total : 16.21% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.4% | 0-2 @ 10.61% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 7.29% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 63.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |