Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 76.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 8.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Troyes |
76.61% ( -0.09) | 14.89% ( 0.1) | 8.5% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.49% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.24% ( -0.56) | 36.76% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.07% ( -0.61) | 58.93% ( 0.61) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.07% ( -0.15) | 7.93% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.97% ( -0.38) | 28.03% ( 0.38) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.58% ( -0.41) | 48.42% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.46% ( -0.3) | 83.54% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Troyes |
2-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.55% Total : 76.6% | 1-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 14.89% | 0-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 8.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |