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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Portland Timbers

Atlanta
5 - 1
Portland

Wiley (25'), Almada (45+5', 86'), Giakoumakis (59'), Araujo (75')
Sosa (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ikoba (83')
Mabiala (45+3'), Bravo (61'), Williamson (67'), McGraw (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-3 Atlanta
Saturday, March 11 at 5pm in Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Portland 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Portland Timbers

 Atlanta have been poor on home turf of late, but their recent form should give them cause for optimism heading into this weekend's game. We anticipate an open and end-to-end affair with the hosts narrowly coming out on top in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
59.07% (-2.432 -2.43) 21.1% (0.731 0.73) 19.83% (1.701 1.7)
Both teams to score 57.8% (0.58199999999999 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.47% (-0.706 -0.71)39.52% (0.707 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.13% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)61.87% (0.739 0.74)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (-0.92 -0.92)13.08% (0.918 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.3% (-1.902 -1.9)39.69% (1.903 1.9)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5% (1.359 1.36)33.49% (-1.36 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87% (1.457 1.46)70.13% (-1.458 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 59.07%
    Portland Timbers 19.83%
    Draw 21.1%
Atlanta UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.344 -0.34)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-0 @ 6.14% (-0.462 -0.46)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.355 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.155 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 59.07%
1-1 @ 9.75% (0.334 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.196 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.1%
1-2 @ 5.33% (0.37 0.37)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.325 0.32)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.267 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.141 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.201 0.2)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 19.83%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Portland

Atlanta United
73.3%
Draw
13.3%
Portland Timbers
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 10.30pm
Portland
2-1
Atlanta
Moreno (38' pen.), Asprilla (82' pen.)
Asprilla (78')
Martinez (88')
Apr 19, 2020 11.30pm
Atlanta
P-P
Portland
Aug 19, 2019 3am
Portland
0-2
Atlanta

Moreira (42')
Gonzalez (14'), Martinez (46')
Larentowicz (24'), Pogba (33'), Barco (45')
Dec 9, 2018 1am
Final
Atlanta
2-0
Portland
Martinez (39'), Escobar (54')
McCann (94')

Chara (80')
Jun 24, 2018 9.30pm
Atlanta
1-1
Portland
Gressel (56')
Escobar (32')
Mabiala (32')
Chara (24'), Mabiala (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97
> Full Version


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